The consequences of a lab escape of a potential pandemic pathogen
Lynn Klotz & Edward J Sylvester
Front. Public Health, 11 August 2014 doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2014.00116
This constitutes the first risk analysis made in the filed of GOF influenza research. “what is the likelihood that one of these viruses will escape from a lab and seed the very pandemic the researchers claim they are trying to prevent? As we shall estimate, that probability could be as high as 27%, a risk too dangerous to live with.”
If they are right the probability is unacceptable high. If they are wrong, then we need to know where for the probability is too high for comfort. Risk analyses are urgently needed.
